Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.056292 0.063983 0.071956 0.080807 0.090328 0.100234 0.111290
2025-03-16 0.040931 0.051623 0.063408 0.077220 0.092827 0.109790 0.129491
2025-03-23 0.033979 0.046841 0.061754 0.079988 0.101359 0.125316 0.153908
2025-03-30 0.028527 0.042727 0.059968 0.081830 0.108241 0.138590 0.175586
2025-04-06 0.025200 0.040600 0.060047 0.085457 0.116899 0.153729 0.199345
2025-04-13 0.020865 0.036496 0.057102 0.084893 0.120134 0.162210 0.215145
2025-04-20 0.019520 0.036229 0.058936 0.090223 0.130548 0.179296 0.241239
2025-04-27 0.015921 0.032232 0.055382 0.088239 0.131526 0.184720 0.253200
2025-05-04 0.014462 0.031227 0.055777 0.091350 0.138919 0.198020 0.274761
2025-05-11 0.012133 0.028516 0.053489 0.090615 0.141169 0.204810 0.288289
2025-05-18 0.010875 0.027388 0.053373 0.092774 0.147161 0.216296 0.307660
2025-05-25 0.010001 0.026797 0.053974 0.095886 0.154405 0.229397 0.329110
2025-06-01 0.007705 0.023380 0.050155 0.092773 0.153541 0.232560 0.338784
2025-06-08 0.005701 0.020076 0.046201 0.089239 0.151982 0.234810 0.347405
2025-06-15 0.005079 0.019532 0.046737 0.092401 0.159765 0.249398 0.371951
2025-06-22 0.004375 0.018644 0.046587 0.094462 0.165988 0.261964 0.393994
2025-06-29 0.004009 0.018484 0.047679 0.098449 0.174990 0.278307 0.421044
2025-07-06 0.003153 0.016838 0.045928 0.097836 0.177304 0.285649 0.436409
2025-07-13 0.003086 0.017338 0.048178 0.103670 0.189050 0.305827 0.468688
2025-07-20 0.002270 0.015384 0.045581 0.101501 0.188984 0.309916 0.479842
2025-07-27 0.002039 0.015184 0.046373 0.104903 0.197167 0.325321 0.505998
2025-08-03 0.001537 0.013833 0.044711 0.104099 0.199017 0.331996 0.520605
2025-08-10 0.001313 0.013415 0.044926 0.106458 0.205626 0.345277 0.544060